CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-09-30T09:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-09-30T09:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/41522/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the SW in SOHO LASCO C2, STEREO A COR2, and GOES CCOR-1. Source is a large filament eruption seen near the SW limb of the Earth-facing disk, and in the SW quadrant of the STEREO-A-facing disk. The filament can be seen spanning S35W60 to S15W108 and beginning to show movement at 2025-09-30T08:36Z. An associated M2.6 flare peaking at 2025-90-30T09:40Z and a narrow jet of ejecta, both from AR 14227 (S17W58), can be seen in GOES SUVI 304. Liftoff of material and post-eruptive brightening can also be seen in STEREO A EUVI 195/304 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-03T00:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 30.90 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-10-01T17:06Z
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